HAPPENING NOW:
Sunday afternoon storms are slowly moving towards the east from the I-10 and I-75 corridor. Storms are expected for Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida through sunset. Though rain accumulation is expected to be less than a quarter of an inch, it will still be disruptive to outdoor evening plans.
In addition to the storm there are some severe elements to the system. However, I will be monitoring to see if the strong winds remain as the storm gets into the I-10 and I-95 corridor. It is currently approaching the I-10 and I-75 corridor.
There are currently storms thunderstorms moving through Gilchrist, northwestern Alachua, Southwestern Columbia. The storm is moving east at 35 miles per hour and the winds within the storm are gusting up to 50 miles per hour.
OTHER HAZARDS
High Rip Current risk remains in effect for NE Florida coast.
Minor Coastal Flooding remains possible along the Saint Johns River.
TRACKING THE TROPICS
Near the Windward Islands and the Caribbean Sea (AL98):
Recent satellite wind data and surface observations indicate the tropical wave currently crossing the Windward Islands still lacks a closed circulation. However both radar and satellite images indicate the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is starting to show signs of organization.
The system is still moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 mph, which could limit development over the next day or so, but environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable as it slows down in the central Caribbean Sea by the middle of this week. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle to latter portion of this week in the central Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to continue for portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands through Monday morning.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.