Invest 94 is taking shape in the Central Caribbean Sea and the Southwestern Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a tropical wave located near Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
An area of low pressure is expected to form along the wave tonight or early Friday when it moves near the southeast Bahamas.
This low is expected to become a tropical depression when it is in the vicinity of the central and northwest Bahamas late Friday or over the weekend and then track northwestward or northward over the southwestern Atlantic.
There is significant uncertainty in the long-range track and intensity of the system as well as the impact from wind, rain and potential storm surge for the southeast U.S. coasts.
Continue to monitor the progress of the system.
The formation chance through 48 hours is up to 80 percent and the formation chance through 7 days remains at 90 percent.