The area of low-pressure that we have been watching in the eastern Atlantic is now Invest 91.
The hurricane models continue to differ in path and strength.
No two model runs have been consistent and the latest model run has moved the path over open water while the Euro weakens the system in the Caribbean.
The model path varies greatly after Tuesday, September 9. Keep up with updates.
The broad area of low pressure has become better organized along a tropical wave over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Satellite imagery suggests the system continues to become better organized with shower and thunderstorm activity along its eastern periphery.
Environmental conditions are favorable for additional development of the low and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend. Current movement is westward at 5 to 10 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
If the system continues to develop into a named storm, it will be Gabrielle.
Keep an eye on the Lesser Antilles and Leeward Islands as it approaches from the east by the middle of next week.
The formation chance through 48 hours has increased to 60 percent and the formation chance through 7 days is up to 90 percent.