JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – There’s a lot happening in the tropics this week, and it’s all eyes on Tropical Storm Erin.
The system is expected to become the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season by the end of the week.
As the storm pushes past Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic through the weekend, forecasts show it’s likely to reach major hurricane status.
Right now, most models agree that Erin is trending away from Florida and the U.S. East Coast, but it remains a storm worth watching closely.
It’s moving through a low shear environment, and water temperatures are in the 80s, which means rapid intensification is a real possibility.
The Weather Authority’s cutting-edge tools, including Exact Track 4D, are tracking every update and providing new model information as it comes in.
Another tropical system in the southern part of the region is forecast to dissipate as it nears Mexico, bringing rain but not affecting Northeast Florida or the Gulf.
Heat advisory brings dangerous conditions
Closer to home, folks around Jacksonville and throughout Northeast Florida are dealing with a heat advisory in effect from 11 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Temperatures are already in the upper 70s and low 80s early in the day, but those numbers shoot up fast—and that’s not even counting the humidity.
“Feels like” temperatures are expected to climb to 100 to 105 degrees by 2-4 p.m., with St. Augustine and Jacksonville near the top of the list at 108 degrees in some spots.
Remember, the inside of a car can reach 140 degrees. It’s a good day to take every precaution, stay hydrated, and avoid extended time outdoors if possible.
The week ahead
For the rest of the week, the forecast points to more of the same: high temperatures in the mid-90s across much of Northeast Florida, with 80s and 90s along the coast.
Afternoon pop-up showers and storms are in the mix, but not every neighborhood will see them. Where storms do hit, expect locally heavy rain, gusty winds and, of course, lightning.
The 7-day outlook keeps the heat rolling, but there may be a slight break after the weekend.
Sunday brings higher rain chances, and the high drops to the low 90s. Still, humidity will keep things feeling much hotter. This pattern is expected to last well into next week.
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