Flash flood risk and storms in this week’s forecast & we’re tracking 2 areas of interest in the tropics

Afternoon storms expected, tropical outlook brings more rain and possible flood concerns

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – Jacksonville and neighboring communities are in for more wet weather this week.

On Tuesday morning, radar showed relatively clear skies after overnight rain had moved through, but showers are expected to redevelop as the day goes on.

If you’re near the coast, plan for isolated afternoon showers—these could start popping up as early as 2 p.m. By 3-4 p.m., those showers are expected to firm up, with heavier and more widespread rain affecting areas like Green Cove Springs, Macclenny, Waycross, Jacksonville, and St. Augustine between 4 p.m. and 8 p.m.

Everyone won’t see showers at the same time, so it’s helpful to track your local radar and alerts using the Exact Track 4D app from News4JAX.

The pattern of daily pop-up storms is forecast to continue through the rest of the week.

Flash flood and rainfall risks increase

There’s an elevated flash flood risk for parts of the viewing area—especially given how much rain has already fallen recently.

This rain comes down in droves, and it adds up on already saturated ground.

Over the next seven days, projections have most communities receiving another 2 inches to 3 inches of rain.

A look at regional rainfall forecast maps shows particularly high totals possible in select spots, though the distribution will vary.

Tracking the tropics

The Weather Authority is also watching the tropics closely.

One system out in the Atlantic currently carries about a 50% chance of developing over the next week, though dry air, Saharan dust, and an evolving Bermuda High pressure to the north could keep it from turning toward our area.

Based on current forecasts, this system is not expected to impact Jacksonville directly.

Another system, with a 30% chance of development, is likely to become a “rainmaker” for the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic.

For Jacksonville, the biggest concern from this system could be an uptick in rip currents at local beaches.

Tropical Storm Dexter continues to move east and poses no threat to the U.S. coast.

Expect The Weather Authority team to keep a close watch on these developments and provide updates throughout the day.

Share your weather photos

Have you captured lightning, flooding, or storm clouds in your neighborhood?

Share your weather photos and videos with News4JAX through SnapJAX at news4jax.com/snapjax.


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