We are monitoring a trough of low pressure in the Atlantic with potential tropical development changes in the Gulf.
High pressure continues across the NE Gulf, producing gentle to moderate SE to S winds over the western Gulf and mainly light winds elsewhere.
The high will drift slowly into the NW Gulf by Wednesday. An elongated low pressure near the southeastern U.S. coast is forecast to move westward across Florida during the next day or so and into the northeastern Gulf by late Tuesday.
Environmental conditions appear favorable and gradual development of this system is possible while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part of the week.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some with strong gusty winds, will accompany this system.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through the middle to latter portion of the week
Formation chance through 48 hours is 30 percent and the formation chance through 7 days in 40 percent.