We are monitoring a trough of low pressure in the northern Gulf.
High pressure continues across the NE Gulf, producing gentle to moderate SE to S winds over the western Gulf and mainly light winds elsewhere.
The high will drift slowly into the NW Gulf through Wednesday.
Environmental conditions appear favorable and gradual development of this system is possible while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the northeastern and north-central portions of the Gulf during the middle to latter part of the week.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some with strong gusty winds, will accompany this system.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized flash flooding over portions of Florida and the north-central Gulf coast through the middle to latter portion of the week.
Tropical models do not suggest intensification to tropical storm strength and waves in the Gulf are not forecasted to reach tropical storm heights.
Formation chances remain at 40 percent through 48 hours and the formation chance through 7 days is 40 percent.