A weekend without storms in Northeast Florida, Southeast Georgia

Saharan Dust is approaching, can have multiple impacts on Florida

SATURDAY EVENING FORECAST

Temperatures will drop into the low 70s before midnight, breezy winds settle to calm by sunset from the west and humidity increases with little to no clouds. Rain chance are less than 10 percent for any area in Southeast Georgia and Northeast Florida.

LOOKING AHEAD

Rain chances return Wednesday. Above average temperatures return for the work week.

TRACKING THE TROPICS

The Pacific Hurricane Season began on May 15th and has had its first named storm, Tropical Storm Alvin on Thursday, May 29th. It has since dissipated to a post tropical storm. Some viewers may confuse that season with the Atlantic. It is separate.

We are impacted by the Atlantic Hurricane season.

The Atlantic Hurricane season begins on June 1, and NOAA forecasted an above-normal season.

NOAA predicted the following:

  • 30% chance of a near-normal season
  • 60% chance of an above-normal season
  • 10% chance of a below-normal season.
  • 13 to 19 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher)
  • 6-10 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher)
  • 3-5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher)
Early model runs show low pressure development June 9th, probability remains low as of May 31st. (Copyright 2025 by WJXT News4JAX - All rights reserved.)

The GFS and EURO do not agree on the development of a low pressure system that could lead to a depression.

SAHARAN DUST HEADED TO FLORIDA

As the Saharan Dust makes its way from Africa and across the Atlantic it could impact Florida in multiple ways. Specifically, the Saharan Air Layer can suppress tropical cyclone development. The layer has characteristics of warm, dry air with strong winds. It can also suppress cloud development and storms. As it looms for the next couple of days you may notice a hazy white look during the day in the sky and an orange glow during sunsets. If you are vulnerable to respiratory issues such as asthma or chronic lung disease, you could be more vulnerable and impacted by the dust exposure.